B.GOA.0131 - Goat industry data collation and tracking - phase 2 Final Report
This project was designed to improve decision making and strategic planning across all sectors of the goatmeat supply chain by providing access to reliable data and supply forecasts.
| Project start date: | 14 April 2021 |
| Project end date: | 29 October 2023 |
| Publication date: | 15 May 2024 |
| Project status: | Completed |
| Livestock species: | Goat |
| Relevant regions: | National |
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Summary
A critical requirement for a viable, long-term goat industry is accurate and reliable data on supply. This project will implement processes to improve, collate, track and report existing and new data. These processes will increase goat industry access to, and reliability of, data for supply and market forecasting. For regions important to the export industry, the project will quantify the number of goats managed, unmanaged and marketed annually. It will model population changes and the sustainability of supply under different harvesting rates. In summary this project seeks to generate reliable information to improve industry’s ability to forecast supply. This project is phase 2, following on from B.GOA.0123.
Objectives
The project aimed to:
• establish processes to collate and report reliable and accurate data
• project supply and population changes
• coordinate and support a supply Forecasting Committee.
Key findings
Major achievements include:
• a significant change in the availability of supply, processing and population data to support decision making
• the development of methods to accurately report the number of goats supplied for processing from each region in Australia
• industry specific supply (time-series and supply response) and population (an integral projection model transformed into a dynamic, web-based application) models, which are used to support the Forecasting Committee’s decision making
• the coordination of an effective National Goat Forecasting Committee.
Benefits to industry
The Forecasting Committee and the processes that support it have significantly increased the industry's capacity to predict and understand supply and population trends, enhancing the goatmeat sector’s strategic planning. Key messages were formulated and communicated to industry. The industry’s capacity to anticipate and respond to supply challenges has been dramatically improved.
MLA action
The Forecasting Committee and the processes that support it have significantly increased the industry's capacity to predict and understand supply and population trends, enhancing the goatmeat sector’s strategic planning. Key messages were formulated and communicated to industry. The industry’s capacity to anticipate and respond to supply challenges has been dramatically improved.
Future research
The Australian goatmeat industry is innovative and developing rapidly, making production, supply, and demand dynamic. Constant change and progress mean that continuing investment is needed to collate and report data, explain industry trends, and forecast changes.
More information
| Project manager: | Melanie Smith |
| Contact email: | reports@mla.com.au |
| Primary researcher: | NSW Department t of Primary Industry |
